chore: bump prophet and holidays (predictive forecasting)

[sebastianliebscher]

SUMMARY

This PR bumps optional dependency prophet for the predictive forecasting feature. Prophet made huge performance gains in the last releases https://github.com/facebook/prophet/releases and dropped some dependencies.

Sped up .predict() by up to 10x by removing intermediate DataFrame creations.

Also bumped holidays as needed for prophet. https://github.com/dr-prodigy/python-holidays/releases

Note: Although prophet worked before and after the bump, their related integration tests still fail #24406. So this PR may be blocked by this issue.

BEFORE/AFTER SCREENSHOTS OR ANIMATED GIF

TESTING INSTRUCTIONS

• pip install -e '.[prophet]'
• Setup Line chart and enable predictive forecast

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

• Has associated issue:
• Required feature flags:
• Changes UI
• Includes DB Migration (follow approval process in SIP-59)
  • Migration is atomic, supports rollback & is backwards-compatible
  • Confirm DB migration upgrade and downgrade tested
  • Runtime estimates and downtime expectations provided
• Introduces new feature or API
• Removes existing feature or API

[codecov]

Codecov Report

Merging #24426 (4e74339) into master (23bb1c4) will not change coverage.
The diff coverage is n/a.

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Flag	Coverage Δ
hive	53.92% <ø> (ø)
mysql	79.20% <ø> (ø)
postgres	79.29% <ø> (ø)
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python	83.28% <ø> (ø)
sqlite	77.79% <ø> (ø)
unit	54.62% <ø> (ø)

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[villebro]

Nice one @sebastianliebscher ! ❤️ FYI, @john-bodley has a related PR in the works, but maybe we can get this merged first and then fast follow John's PR to get those tests etc cleaned up.

[sebastianliebscher]

@villebro maybe you can also have a look at this discussion #24357

[john-bodley]

@sebastianliebscher thanks for the PR. Personally I would prefer #24129 as it reenables the tests which highlighted a few issues with the way prophet was used/configured.

There's a CI issue I still need to look into, i.e., for some reason the test fails on MySQL but works for SQLite and Postgres.

[sebastianliebscher]

Oh, didn't see your PR which will handle the bump + fixing the tests.

Closed in favor of #24129