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over-under

I want to see how simple of a model can accurately predict whether to bet the over or under for total point totals in NBA games

generate_weights_file.py : Creates a csv containing slope and y-intercept values. Both calculated through use of gradient descent to minimize the sum of squared residuals in a sheet of first half points - total points data. Also has weights determined using numpy polyfit with a degree of 1.

generate_error_report.py : Creates a csv containing the sum of squared residuals on a per-team basis for a given set of weights.

generate_preprocessed_data.py : Creates a collection of csv files (one per team) with the data from TeamStatistics.csv.

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I want to see how simple of a model can accurately predict whether to bet the total point over or under for NBA games. I write about model development / betting strategy / profit & loss / etc. at https://gregwint95.substack.com/.

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