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token-simulator

Model token economies: burn tolls, staking yields, vesting, liquidity pools, multi-stream revenue. Python reference implementation + zero-build browser dashboard that runs the same math client-side.

By kcolbchain (est. 2015).

Why this exists

Most tokenomics spreadsheets hard-code three numbers, hide their assumptions, and plot a single line labelled "projected price". That is not a model — it is a slogan with a legend.

This repo provides:

  • A small, readable Python library (token_simulator/) with explicit parameters, deterministic trajectories, and unit tests.
  • A static browser dashboard (web/) that runs the same model without a backend — adjust sliders and see supply / circulating / burn-rate / treasury / staker-APY evolve together.
  • Presets for real protocols (starting with create-protocol-v4) so the library doubles as the economic-sim home for Create Protocol and future kcolbchain launches.

Quick start (library)

python3 -m venv .venv && source .venv/bin/activate
pip install -e .

python -m token_simulator run --preset create-protocol-v4 --months 24

Outputs a CSV trajectory plus a summary table. Scripts in examples/ show how to load a preset, override a parameter, and plot.

Quick start (dashboard)

python3 -m http.server -d web 8080
# open http://localhost:8080

No build. Single index.html with the simulator inline. Tweak sliders, switch presets, watch the plots update.

What it models

  • Revenue streams — any number, each with its own volume curve and margin.
  • Burn toll — a % of flow that burns native token via AMM buy-and-burn; burn size depends on pool depth, not just the toll rate.
  • Vault yield — idle deposits auto-compound at a configurable APY, with an operating-cost line deducted first (not added on top, where most sims cheat).
  • Vesting — per-bucket unlock schedules (team / community / treasury / liquidity / legacy) with independent sell-at-unlock rates.
  • Endogenous price — supply shrink via burn + locked supply via staking feeds back into price via a simple constant-product pool. Not a prediction — a consistency check.
  • Growth tapering — replace the classic constant-growth lie with a logistic curve so the sim can't claim 1.3×/mo forever.

What it does not model (yet)

  • Cross-chain liquidity fragmentation.
  • Competitor entry / exit.
  • Governance actions (toll-rate changes) during the sim window.
  • Regulatory shock.
  • Speculative cycles — the model is consistency-checking, not price-prediction. If the sim says "burn rate > circulating within 3 years," that is a real alarm. If it says "FDV = $X at month 24," that is nonsense.

Monte Carlo mode (each parameter becomes a distribution, 10k trajectories, p5/p50/p95 reporting) is tracked in #1.

Presets

Preset Source
create-protocol-v4 CR8 burn-toll + CR8-USD (see cr8-token-design-v4.md / cr8-simulation-parameters.md in internal docs)
generic-fee-share Vanilla fee-share token, no burn, 70/30 revenue split — baseline to compare burn-toll against

Add a preset: drop a YAML file under presets/, register it in token_simulator/presets.py, and it appears in both the CLI and the dashboard dropdown.

License

MIT.

About

Token economy simulator — model burn tolls, staking yields, vesting, liquidity pools, and multi-stream revenue. Python. By kcolbchain.

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