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investigate: 0xB10C score remains 1 — documented null result April 2026 #3

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Iskander-Agent merged 1 commit into from
Apr 5, 2026
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investigate: 0xB10C score remains 1 — documented null result April 2026 #3

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27 changes: 15 additions & 12 deletions public/data.json
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Expand Up @@ -34,20 +34,20 @@
"Cointelegraph, Bitcoin Magazine, CryptoBriefing",
"Podcasts (Stephan Livera, Blockspace)"
],
"critical_context": "Google Quantum AI (March 31, 2026): <500k physical qubits break ECDSA-256 in ~9 min \u2014 inside Bitcoin's block time. 20x easier than 2019 estimates. ~37% of BTC supply in quantum-vulnerable P2PK addresses. Zero public upgrade roadmap. Zero top developer response within 48 hours of the Google paper. BIP-360 merged but no activation timeline. Other major protocols (Ethereum, Solana) have published quantum migration plans. Bitcoin has not.",
"key_insight": "Bitcoin is sleepwalking into a quantum crisis. Google's March 31, 2026 paper showed <500k physical qubits could break ECDSA-256 in ~9 minutes \u2014 a 20x reduction from prior estimates, inside a single block time. ~37% of Bitcoin's supply sits in addresses with exposed public keys. Yet 62% of the top 50 most influential protocol developers have no public quantum position. The dismissive camp outnumbers the urgent camp nearly 3-to-1. No current Core maintainer scores above a 2. Quiet building by the score-4 cluster (Wuille, Nick, Ruffing, Shikhelman) is necessary but insufficient \u2014 Bitcoin soft forks require public debate, community consensus, and political will. None of that is happening. BIP-360 exists but has no activation timeline. Bitcoin is worst-in-class among major protocols on quantum preparedness.",
"critical_context": "Google Quantum AI (March 31, 2026): <500k physical qubits break ECDSA-256 in ~9 min — inside Bitcoin's block time. 20x easier than 2019 estimates. ~37% of BTC supply in quantum-vulnerable P2PK addresses. Zero public upgrade roadmap. Zero top developer response within 48 hours of the Google paper. BIP-360 merged but no activation timeline. Other major protocols (Ethereum, Solana) have published quantum migration plans. Bitcoin has not.",
"key_insight": "Bitcoin is sleepwalking into a quantum crisis. Google's March 31, 2026 paper showed <500k physical qubits could break ECDSA-256 in ~9 minutes — a 20x reduction from prior estimates, inside a single block time. ~37% of Bitcoin's supply sits in addresses with exposed public keys. Yet 62% of the top 50 most influential protocol developers have no public quantum position. The dismissive camp outnumbers the urgent camp nearly 3-to-1. No current Core maintainer scores above a 2. Quiet building by the score-4 cluster (Wuille, Nick, Ruffing, Shikhelman) is necessary but insufficient — Bitcoin soft forks require public debate, community consensus, and political will. None of that is happening. BIP-360 exists but has no activation timeline. Bitcoin is worst-in-class among major protocols on quantum preparedness.",
"x_source_note": "X/Twitter post dates confirmed via snowflake ID decoding. Content verified manually by agent; automated verification blocked by platform access restrictions.",
"quantum_readiness_index": {
"voiced_urgency": {
"score": 62,
"description": "Among the 19 developers who have made verifiable public statements, the weighted average urgency is 62/100. Based only on statements we have actually seen or heard \u2014 no inference from silence.",
"description": "Among the 19 developers who have made verifiable public statements, the weighted average urgency is 62/100. Based only on statements we have actually seen or heard — no inference from silence.",
"voices_count": 19,
"weighted_sum": 59,
"max_possible": 95
},
"coverage": {
"score": 37,
"description": "Only 19 of 52 assessed developers (37%) have any verifiable public position on quantum risk. The other 33 have said nothing. Silence is not a data point \u2014 it is a gap.",
"description": "Only 19 of 52 assessed developers (37%) have any verifiable public position on quantum risk. The other 33 have said nothing. Silence is not a data point — it is a gap.",
"voiced": 19,
"silent": 33,
"total": 52
Expand All @@ -56,11 +56,11 @@
"score": 23,
"formula": "Voiced Urgency (62) multiplied by Coverage (37%) = 23/100. A high urgency score means nothing if almost nobody is talking. Both numbers must rise for Bitcoin to be quantum-ready.",
"interpretation": {
"0_20": "Asleep \u2014 negligible awareness or engagement",
"20_40": "Sleepwalking \u2014 a few voices, minimal collective action",
"40_60": "Awakening \u2014 broad debate beginning, early preparation",
"60_80": "Mobilizing \u2014 consensus forming, concrete roadmap emerging",
"80_100": "Ready \u2014 near-total agreement, activation imminent"
"0_20": "Asleep — negligible awareness or engagement",
"20_40": "Sleepwalking — a few voices, minimal collective action",
"40_60": "Awakening — broad debate beginning, early preparation",
"60_80": "Mobilizing — consensus forming, concrete roadmap emerging",
"80_100": "Ready — near-total agreement, activation imminent"
},
"current_level": "Sleepwalking"
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -635,7 +635,7 @@
"quantum_urgency_score": 4,
"pq_work_volume": 2,
"notable": true,
"summary": "Published compound probability framework April 3, 2026: P(CRQC by 2030) \u00d7 P(Bitcoin fails to upgrade) \u22655% existential risk. Calls for prioritizing PQ design now. First non-BIP-360-author, non-Blockstream researcher to cross into the proactive camp.",
"summary": "Published compound probability framework April 3, 2026: P(CRQC by 2030) × P(Bitcoin fails to upgrade) ≥5% existential risk. Calls for prioritizing PQ design now. First non-BIP-360-author, non-Blockstream researcher to cross into the proactive camp.",
"key_source": "https://nehanarula.org/2026/04/03/bitcoin-and-quantum-computing.html",
"sources": [
"https://nehanarula.org/2026/04/03/bitcoin-and-quantum-computing.html"
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -709,9 +709,12 @@
"quantum_urgency_score": 1,
"pq_work_volume": 0,
"notable": false,
"summary": "No public statements on quantum risk",
"summary": "Investigated April 2026: b10c.me blog contains no quantum or post-quantum cryptography content. GitHub repos (peer-observer, fork-observer, mainnet-observer, ofac-sanctioned-digital-currency-addresses) are focused on Bitcoin network monitoring and analysis, not cryptographic research. No bitcoin-dev mailing list posts on PQ topics found. Score remains 1 pending new primary source evidence.",
"key_source": null,
"sources": []
"sources": [
"https://b10c.me",
"https://github.com/0xB10C"
]
},
{
"rank": 50,
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