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data: update Laolu PQ BIP-324 stance #39

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55 changes: 44 additions & 11 deletions data.json
View file
Open in desktop
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -7,13 +7,13 @@
"agent_bns": "iskander-ai.btc",
"version": "3.0",
"bounty": "AIBTC Bounty #38 - Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade",
"total_assessed": 66,
"total_assessed": 67,
"ranked": 50,
"notable_additions": 16,
"notable_additions": 17,
"score_distribution": {
"5_urgent": 7,
"4_proactive": 15,
"3_cautious": 9,
"4_proactive": 17,
"3_cautious": 8,
"2_dismissive": 8,
"1_no_known_view": 27
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -213,9 +213,23 @@
"change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; LightStim DEM automation for QEC (arXiv 2604.21472)",
"pr": "#31",
"contributor": "@1feems"
},
{
"date": "2026-05-11",
"developer": "Han Luo et al.",
"change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; space-efficient ECDLP circuit lowers 256-bit prime-field estimate to 1,333 logical qubits (arXiv 2604.02311)",
"pr": null,
"contributor": "@NoeFabris"
},
{
"date": "2026-05-11",
"developer": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun",
"change": "score 3→4 — May 2026 bitcoin-dev post proposes immediate post-quantum BIP-324 transport upgrade path using ML-KEM/hybrid KEM designs",
"pr": null,
"contributor": "@NoeFabris"
}
],
"last_updated": "2026-05-05",
"last_updated": "2026-05-11",
"next_review": "weekly — Sundays (DRI synthesis)"
},
"developers": [
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -564,17 +578,21 @@
"name": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun",
"affiliation": "Lightning Labs (CTO)",
"role": "BIP Editor, Lightning Lead",
"quantum_urgency_score": 3,
"pq_work_volume": 2,
"quantum_urgency_score": 4,
"pq_work_volume": 3,
"notable": false,
"summary": "Engaged with PQ HD wallet derivation on bitcoin-dev (Dec 2025): DilithiumRK, Falcon, SPHINCS+. On Apr 8, 2026 posted zk-STARK proof of BIP-32 seed knowledge enabling BIP-86 Taproot wallet recovery to bitcoin-dev mailing list. Proof generation ~55s on consumer MacBook, verification <2s, ~1.7 MB proof size (per CoinDesk). First executable code for post-quantum Taproot wallet recovery without exposing the seed. Research-engaged, building working tools, not advocating for urgency.",
"key_source": "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool",
"summary": "Escalated from research-engaged to proactive in May 2026 bitcoin-dev discussion by proposing a post-quantum path for BIP-324 transport encryption. Argues Bitcoin P2P transport is also quantum-vulnerable because BIP-324 uses ECDH, describes harvest-now-decrypt-later risk for encrypted peer traffic, and calls PQ BIP-324 a lower-hanging target worth pursuing immediately. Explores pure ML-KEM, hybrid ECDH+ML-KEM, classical-then-PQ upgrade, and obfuscated KEM tradeoffs; follow-up rejects TLS 1.3 as a poor fit for Bitcoin Core dependency, secp256k1, authentication, and oblivious-handshake constraints.",
"key_source": "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/",
"sources": [
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs_cetTGP54zDzJJGRPeN7gXrRYGZZYk4mRYnhJQnwotdA@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8A0GLW-xdSHCKosjPqo7WSf-=YJ7F7s7t65RvtArcBEQ@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool",
"https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/"
]
"https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8i=pLP30nRh_iyjSRJXne19wNezmQmo=JAk8+E4uJPhg@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-11"
},
{
"rank": 27,
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1155,6 +1173,21 @@
"https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21472"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-05"
},
{
"rank": 67,
"name": "Han Luo, Ziyi Yang, Ziruo Wang, Yuexin Su, Tongyang Li",
"affiliation": "Academic (Quantum Cryptanalysis Research)",
"role": "Quantum ECDLP resource-estimation researchers",
"quantum_urgency_score": 4,
"pq_work_volume": 1,
"notable": true,
"summary": "Authors of arXiv 2604.02311 introducing a space-efficient quantum algorithm for elliptic-curve discrete logarithms with concrete resource estimation. Their reversible modular-inversion construction reduces the 256-bit prime-field ECDLP logical-qubit estimate to 1,333, down from 2,124 in the prior low-width Haener et al. implementation. This is a direct Bitcoin-relevant secp256k1 pressure signal: it narrows the resource gap for Shor-class ECDLP attacks while keeping the discussion grounded in explicit circuit counts rather than generic quantum timelines.",
"key_source": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311",
"sources": [
"https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-11"
}
]
}
55 changes: 44 additions & 11 deletions public/data.json
View file
Open in desktop
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -7,13 +7,13 @@
"agent_bns": "iskander-ai.btc",
"version": "3.0",
"bounty": "AIBTC Bounty #38 - Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade",
"total_assessed": 66,
"total_assessed": 67,
"ranked": 50,
"notable_additions": 16,
"notable_additions": 17,
"score_distribution": {
"5_urgent": 7,
"4_proactive": 15,
"3_cautious": 9,
"4_proactive": 17,
"3_cautious": 8,
"2_dismissive": 8,
"1_no_known_view": 27
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -213,9 +213,23 @@
"change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; LightStim DEM automation for QEC (arXiv 2604.21472)",
"pr": "#31",
"contributor": "@1feems"
},
{
"date": "2026-05-11",
"developer": "Han Luo et al.",
"change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; space-efficient ECDLP circuit lowers 256-bit prime-field estimate to 1,333 logical qubits (arXiv 2604.02311)",
"pr": null,
"contributor": "@NoeFabris"
},
{
"date": "2026-05-11",
"developer": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun",
"change": "score 3→4 — May 2026 bitcoin-dev post proposes immediate post-quantum BIP-324 transport upgrade path using ML-KEM/hybrid KEM designs",
"pr": null,
"contributor": "@NoeFabris"
}
],
"last_updated": "2026-05-05",
"last_updated": "2026-05-11",
"next_review": "weekly — Sundays (DRI synthesis)"
},
"developers": [
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -564,17 +578,21 @@
"name": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun",
"affiliation": "Lightning Labs (CTO)",
"role": "BIP Editor, Lightning Lead",
"quantum_urgency_score": 3,
"pq_work_volume": 2,
"quantum_urgency_score": 4,
"pq_work_volume": 3,
"notable": false,
"summary": "Engaged with PQ HD wallet derivation on bitcoin-dev (Dec 2025): DilithiumRK, Falcon, SPHINCS+. On Apr 8, 2026 posted zk-STARK proof of BIP-32 seed knowledge enabling BIP-86 Taproot wallet recovery to bitcoin-dev mailing list. Proof generation ~55s on consumer MacBook, verification <2s, ~1.7 MB proof size (per CoinDesk). First executable code for post-quantum Taproot wallet recovery without exposing the seed. Research-engaged, building working tools, not advocating for urgency.",
"key_source": "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool",
"summary": "Escalated from research-engaged to proactive in May 2026 bitcoin-dev discussion by proposing a post-quantum path for BIP-324 transport encryption. Argues Bitcoin P2P transport is also quantum-vulnerable because BIP-324 uses ECDH, describes harvest-now-decrypt-later risk for encrypted peer traffic, and calls PQ BIP-324 a lower-hanging target worth pursuing immediately. Explores pure ML-KEM, hybrid ECDH+ML-KEM, classical-then-PQ upgrade, and obfuscated KEM tradeoffs; follow-up rejects TLS 1.3 as a poor fit for Bitcoin Core dependency, secp256k1, authentication, and oblivious-handshake constraints.",
"key_source": "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/",
"sources": [
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs_cetTGP54zDzJJGRPeN7gXrRYGZZYk4mRYnhJQnwotdA@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8A0GLW-xdSHCKosjPqo7WSf-=YJ7F7s7t65RvtArcBEQ@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool",
"https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/"
]
"https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8i=pLP30nRh_iyjSRJXne19wNezmQmo=JAk8+E4uJPhg@mail.gmail.com/",
"https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-11"
},
{
"rank": 27,
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1155,6 +1173,21 @@
"https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21472"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-05"
},
{
"rank": 67,
"name": "Han Luo, Ziyi Yang, Ziruo Wang, Yuexin Su, Tongyang Li",
"affiliation": "Academic (Quantum Cryptanalysis Research)",
"role": "Quantum ECDLP resource-estimation researchers",
"quantum_urgency_score": 4,
"pq_work_volume": 1,
"notable": true,
"summary": "Authors of arXiv 2604.02311 introducing a space-efficient quantum algorithm for elliptic-curve discrete logarithms with concrete resource estimation. Their reversible modular-inversion construction reduces the 256-bit prime-field ECDLP logical-qubit estimate to 1,333, down from 2,124 in the prior low-width Haener et al. implementation. This is a direct Bitcoin-relevant secp256k1 pressure signal: it narrows the resource gap for Shor-class ECDLP attacks while keeping the discussion grounded in explicit circuit counts rather than generic quantum timelines.",
"key_source": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311",
"sources": [
"https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311"
],
"last_verified": "2026-05-11"
}
]
}